Rockets into the finals probability over 80% Cavaliers won the probability of only 1%

ESPN brought together all parties’ latest predictions on the East-West finals. Forecasters include ESPN, ESPN's BPI index, fans, and ESPN’s website, FiveThirtyEight (hereinafter referred to as 538). The BPI index and the 538 website both predict that the probability of the Rockets reaching the finals exceeds 80%. The BPI index also predicts that the Cavaliers' chance of winning is only 1%.

Celtics vs Cavaliers Series (Total Score 3-2)

ESPN predicts: Celtic promotion probability is 61%, Cavaliers promotion probability is 39%;

Fans predict that Celtic promotion probability is 59% and Cavaliers promotion probability is 41%.

BPI Index: Celtic promotion probability is 85%, Cavaliers promotion probability is 15%;

538 Prediction: Celtic promotion probability is 73%, and Cavaliers promotion probability is 27%.

Rockets vs. Warriors Series (Total Score 3-2)

ESPN predicts that the rocket promotion rate is 48%, and the Warriors promotion rate is 52%;

Fans predicted that the rocket promotion rate is 58% and the Warriors promotion rate is 42%.

BPI Index: The probability of rocket promotion is 80%, and the Warriors promotion probability is 20%.

538 Prediction: The rocket promotion rate is 82%, and the Warriors promotion rate is 18%.

The probability of winning in the finals

ESPN predicts: The Warrior has a probability of 41%, the Rockets 35%, the Celtics 13%, and the Cavaliers 11%;

Fans predict that the Warrior's probability is 32%, the Rockets' 40%, the Celtics 15%, and the Cavaliers' 13%;

BPI Index: The Warrior has a probability of 67%, the Rockets 16%, the Celtics 16%, and the Cavaliers 1%;

538 Predictions: The Warrior has a probability of 70%, the Rockets 14%, the Celtics 11%, and the Cavaliers 5%.

It can be said that some of the predictions are incomprehensible, especially in the predictions of rockets and warriors. Whether it is the BPI index or the 538 website, they all predicted that the probability of the Rockets qualifying for the finals exceeded 80%. Did they not consider Paul's injuries? In the prediction of the probability of winning the championship, the probability of the BPI index and 538 website for the Warriors is far ahead of the Rockets.

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