Paul is 32 years old, no accident he will jump out of the next season worth 24.27 million US dollars in the contract, this summer to become a completely free agent. According to the provisions of the labor agreement, the Clippers is the only one can give Paul a five-year total value of $ 210 million super contract team, if he joined other teams, then only take a four-year $ 152 million contract. The difference between these two contracts is as high as $ 50 million. But according to ESPN Mark-Stein, Paul is seriously considering joining the Spurs.
One of Paul's reasons for doing so is that the move will increase his chances of defeating the warriors, and he will enter the West and impact the championship, similar to his situation is Durant, who has been through the media voice willing to pay down to keep The team core competitiveness.
Paul's entry will make the Spurs and the Warriors very close? Let's take a look at some of the Spurs how to get Paul's statistical forecast.
Scenario 1: Spurs Trading Parker
If Paul chooses the Spurs, it is tricky for the Spurs to clean up enough salary space to accommodate his $ 35.3 million salary. Even if Gasol gave up his 2017-18 season player option to free up $ 16.2 million in space, and the Spurs chose to give up all the other free agents - including Ginobili, Mills and Simmons, in the 101 million salary cap , They can only free up less than 23 million US dollars of salary space.
The most efficient, practical, but for the team, the fans are the most painful way to deal Tony - Parker. But Parker played for the Spurs for his entire career and won four championships. Parker and the Spurs have a year 15.4 million contract, he is almost 35 years old, in this year against the rocket series, because the knee injury in advance to bid farewell to the season. Year of the French sports car, now has been harder and harder year of the brave. If the Spurs to continue to maintain the title of competitiveness, upgrade point guard is indeed the most important. After the transaction is indeed able to vacate the salary space for Paul, but in the end of his life with this way sweeping out, it is too realistic.
The Spurs may try to use the pick to attract the team to accept Parker, so that the Spurs can avoid trading any young players and keep the free agent Simmons and David Lee. Assuming you can do this, let's take a look at the 2017-18 season's team RPM:
RPM shows that this operation will be slightly better than this year's Spurs, they will have better than the league average attack and defense, according to the RPM data will have 2.6 attacks and 6.1 defense. Parker upgraded to Paul, you can make up for the loss of Gasol. It is estimated that the lineup will be 62 wins, only more than just the end of the season more than a win. However, the prediction of RPM is conservative, to know last summer's prediction of the Spurs is only made 54.5 wins, so it seems to bring the upgrade is still great.
Option 2: Spurs Trading Aldridge
Because Parker's special position in the Spurs, trading Parker may not be the team's choice. In this case, the Spurs may need to trade Aldridge to free up the necessary salary space.
Aldridge's salary next season is $ 21.5 million, he is trading a lot better for the Spurs, you can sign Paul while retaining Simmons and David Lee. Let's take a look at this if the operation of this team, the team 2017-18 season RPM: because less Alderidge, this lineup of the offensive will decline (RPM1.9 points), but the defense increased (RPM6.3 points ), The estimated, the lineup will get 61 wins.
In fact, no matter what way, the Spurs can not completely make up the gap with the Warriors, Warriors and Paul joined the Spurs after the defense is almost the same, but there is a better attack, the Spurs will sacrifice too much depth to create the maximum ceiling space.
However, the addition of the Spurs will certainly give Paul an opportunity to enter the Western Conference finals, and even the impact of the Warriors, this opportunity he will not have in the Clippers.
Note: RPM is true and negative. The full name is real plus-minus, which is similar to the presence of positive and negative values (+/-) on the data list. Is by virtue of advanced statistical modeling technology, by adjusting each teammate and opponents, the success of each NBA player to separate the positive and negative contribution https://www.lolga.com/nba-2k-18/nba-2k-18-mt . RPM estimates that when a player is on the floor, the average of every 100 rounds is an increase in the team's 100 points per cent or less. The RPM model also measures the impact of the player on both ends of the offense and defense, that is, the true and positive (ORPM) and the true and positive (DRPM) of the offense.
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